Decatur Central
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #103
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #32
Ben Davis Regional Rank #9
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 3.1%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Triton Early Bird Mooresville Invitational Bishop Chatard Invitational THSB State Preview Jon Mitchell Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Mid-State Conference Marion County Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional
Date 8/19 8/27 9/4 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19
Team Rating 819 830 751 817 829 753 831 933 836 869 932
Team Adjusted Rating 830 751 817 829 753 831 933 836 869 932
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Triton Early Bird Mooresville Invitational Bishop Chatard Invitational THSB State Preview Jon Mitchell Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Mid-State Conference Marion County Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional
506  Nate Wachnicki 12 17:36 17:51 18:05 18:31 17:33 17:27 17:48 18:05 17:43 18:11 17:18
847  Regan Overman 12 18:06 18:21 17:59 17:38 18:17 17:46 18:01 18:09 18:20 18:00 18:25
904  Michael Stinson 12 18:09 18:11 17:44 18:18 18:02 17:53 18:14 18:33 17:56 17:59 19:05
926  Avry Mason 12 18:12 18:54 17:50 17:41 18:04 17:54 18:01 18:41 18:12 18:15 18:43
993  Jack Sells 12 18:17 17:34 17:51 18:08 18:30 18:29 18:24 18:16 18:19 18:31 18:13
1,560  Riley Devening 10 18:56 18:31 18:41 18:54 18:45 19:14 19:10 19:03 18:56 18:57
Evan Williams 10 19:25 20:06 19:39 19:31 19:35 19:34 19:28 19:17 19:21 19:18
Zeeshan Siddiqui 10 20:25 19:50 19:26 20:38 22:00 21:57 19:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 3.1% 8.5 220 0.1 1.6 1.2 0.3
Sectionals 100% 6.0 152 0.1 0.4 2.7 96.0 1.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Wachnicki 19.8% 110.9 19.8% 19.8%
Regan Overman 0.0% 154.5 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Wachnicki 100% 41.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Regan Overman 99.7% 60.4 99.7% 99.7%
Michael Stinson 99.5% 62.6 99.5% 99.5%
Avry Mason 99.3% 64.4 99.3% 99.3%
Jack Sells 96.4% 66.6 96.2% 96.4%
Riley Devening 5.0% 79.0 1.9% 2.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Wachnicki 20.4 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.9 1.8 2.6 4.2 5.9 7.7 9.5 11.5 13.7 10.3 9.4 7.6 5.0
Regan Overman 30.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.2 2.2 2.0 3.8
Michael Stinson 31.6 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.0
Avry Mason 33.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 1.5
Jack Sells 34.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6
Riley Devening 43.2